FairValue

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Dani

Parejo

CMSpain · Villarreal CF

№ 59561Emerging €778k +0.25

Player dossierLaLiga

DaniParejo

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Villarreal CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
37
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Parejo at €1M. Model A, which never saw Parejo during training, estimates €778k: the market value is 29% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €682k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.25A €778k▲ +0.38B €682k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
79
Minutes
4,104
Goals
4
Assists
4
Started
47/79
Min / app
52
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Parejo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €778k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dani Parejo's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 51st, Assists per 90 47th, Minutes, two years 75th, Starts 34th, Minutes, last 365 days 55th, European club minutes 66th51stGoals47thAssists75thMinutes34thStarts55thRecent66thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,104 this player2,607 midfielder median75th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Nov 2007
Peak
€35M
Dec 2019
Model target
€1M
Jun 2026
Valuations
49
5 club changes
Jun 2026€1MVillarreal CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1M, Villarreal CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2007-11-20€100kReal Madrid Castilla
2008-08-20€175kQueens Park Rangers
2008-10-09€500kQueens Park Rangers
2009-01-26€500kReal Madrid
2009-07-22€500kReal Madrid
2009-08-06€2MGetafe CF
2009-12-02€4MGetafe CF
2010-04-11€5MGetafe CF
2010-08-27€8MGetafe CF
2011-02-04€8MGetafe CF
2011-07-29€8MValencia CF
2012-02-03€6MValencia CF
2012-08-07€6MValencia CF
2013-01-11€6MValencia CF
2013-06-12€10MValencia CF
2014-01-23€10MValencia CF
2014-07-20€15MValencia CF
2015-01-23€15MValencia CF
2015-07-01€20MValencia CF
2015-11-23€22MValencia CF
2016-02-22€20MValencia CF
2016-04-07€18MValencia CF
2016-07-15€18MValencia CF
2017-01-24€15MValencia CF
2017-06-05€15MValencia CF
2018-01-01€18MValencia CF
2018-03-22€20MValencia CF
2018-05-30€20MValencia CF
2018-12-21€20MValencia CF
2019-06-11€30MValencia CF
2019-12-20€35MValencia CF
2020-04-08€28MValencia CF
2020-07-23€20MValencia CF
2020-10-08€10MVillarreal CF
2021-01-05€10MVillarreal CF
2021-06-10€10MVillarreal CF
2021-10-13€9MVillarreal CF
2021-12-30€9MVillarreal CF
2022-06-03€9MVillarreal CF
2022-11-07€7MVillarreal CF
2023-06-13€6MVillarreal CF
2023-10-13€4MVillarreal CF
2023-12-22€4MVillarreal CF
2024-03-21€3MVillarreal CF
2024-06-07€2.5MVillarreal CF
2024-12-27€2MVillarreal CF
2025-06-09€1.5MVillarreal CF
2025-12-12€1.2MVillarreal CF
2026-06-05€1MVillarreal CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.251

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 8% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 32% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Parejo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).