FairValue

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Mehdi

Moubarik

DMMorocco · Dinamo Makhachkala

№ 593432Emerging €1.1M −0.18

Player dossierPremier Liga

MehdiMoubarik

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Dinamo Makhachkala
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Morocco
Age
25
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Moubarik at €900k. Model A, which never saw Moubarik during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €777k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.18A €1.1M▲ +0.15B €777k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
25
Minutes
1,742
Goals
2
Assists
0
Started
22/25
Min / app
70
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Moubarik…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Mehdi Moubarik's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 57th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 30th, Starts 84th, Minutes, last 365 days 56th, European club minutes 30th57thGoals8thAssists30thMinutes84thStarts56thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

88% this player69% midfielder median84th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Apr 2021
Peak
€900k
May 2023
Model target
€900k
May 2026
Valuations
13
4 club changes
May 2026€900kDinamo MakhachkalaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €900k, Dinamo Makhachkala. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-04-11€200kFUS Rabat
2021-07-31€500kFUS Rabat
2021-12-01€500kFUS Rabat
2022-07-11€550kFUS Rabat
2022-12-15€300kAl-Ain FC
2023-05-31€900kAl-Ain FC
2023-11-23€800kRaja Club Athletic
2024-01-29€900kRaja Club Athletic
2024-06-28€900kRaja Club Athletic
2025-01-08€900kWydad Casablanca
2025-05-28€900kWydad Casablanca
2025-12-16€900kDinamo Makhachkala
2026-05-26€900kDinamo Makhachkala

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.176

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 39% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 30% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Moubarik appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).