FairValue

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Salem

M'Bakata

RBFrance · Gaziantep FK

№ 590926Emerging €431k −0.07

Player dossierSüper Lig

SalemM'Bakata

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Gaziantep FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
France
Age
28
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values M'Bakata at €400k. Model A, which never saw M'Bakata during training, estimates €431k: the market value is 7% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €510k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.07A €431k▼ −0.24B €510k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,467
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
16/23
Min / app
64
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for M'Bakata…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €431k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Salem M'Bakata's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 22nd, Starts 26th, Minutes, last 365 days 6th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists22ndMinutes26thStarts6thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% defender median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Jan 2019
Peak
€700k
Sept 2023
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
21
3 club changes
May 2026€400kGaziantep FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, Gaziantep FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-01-08€400kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2019-06-27€400kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2020-01-06€500kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2020-04-08€450kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2020-08-14€500kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2020-11-11€500kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2021-06-25€600kFC Sochaux-Montbéliard
2021-10-28€500kWithout Club
2022-06-09€500kAris Thessaloniki
2022-11-07€500kAris Thessaloniki
2023-05-22€600kAris Thessaloniki
2023-09-27€700kGaziantep FK
2023-12-21€550kGaziantep FK
2024-03-15€625kGaziantep FK
2024-05-31€550kGaziantep FK
2024-10-04€550kGaziantep FK
2024-12-23€550kGaziantep FK
2025-03-20€550kGaziantep FK
2025-06-18€600kGaziantep FK
2025-12-17€500kGaziantep FK
2026-05-21€400kGaziantep FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.074

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 15% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where M'Bakata appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).