FairValue

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Ömer

Beyaz

AMTürkiye · Basaksehir FK

№ 588020Emerging €2.1M −1.66

Player dossierSüper Lig

ÖmerBeyaz

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Basaksehir FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
22
Height
171 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
17 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Beyaz at €400k. Model A, which never saw Beyaz during training, estimates €2.1M: the market value is 81% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×5.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.66A €2.1M▼ −1.67B €2.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
38
Minutes
1,382
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
17/38
Min / app
36
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Beyaz…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €2.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Ömer Beyaz's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 41st, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 22nd, Starts 15th, Minutes, last 365 days 9th, European club minutes 70th41stGoals8thAssists22ndMinutes15thStarts9thRecent70thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

9% this player0% midfielder median70th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Aug 2020
Peak
€1M
Dec 2020
Model target
€400k
Dec 2025
Valuations
18
5 club changes
Dec 2025€400kBasaksehir FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €400k, Basaksehir FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-08-04€300kFenerbahce
2020-12-23€1MFenerbahce
2021-03-16€1MFenerbahce
2021-05-21€1MFenerbahce
2021-12-22€1MVfB Stuttgart
2022-06-09€1MVfB Stuttgart
2022-09-28€800k1.FC Magdeburg
2022-11-30€700k1.FC Magdeburg
2023-06-22€700kVfB Stuttgart
2023-09-27€700kHatayspor
2023-12-21€800kHatayspor
2024-03-15€725kHatayspor
2024-05-31€650kHatayspor
2024-10-04€500kBasaksehir FK
2024-12-23€450kBasaksehir FK
2025-03-20€450kBasaksehir FK
2025-06-18€450kBasaksehir FK
2025-12-17€400kBasaksehir FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.655

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 15% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 12% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Beyaz appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).