FairValue

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Bruno

Viana

CBBrazil · Alanyaspor

№ 411838Emerging €440k −0.10

Player dossierSüper Lig

BrunoViana

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Alanyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Brazil
Age
31
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Viana at €400k. Model A, which never saw Viana during training, estimates €440k: the market value is 9% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €707k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.10A €440k▼ −0.57B €707k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
2,754
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
31/34
Min / app
81
Cards
10Y 2R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Viana…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €440k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Bruno Viana's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 46th, Minutes, two years 48th, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 9th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals46thAssists48thMinutes73rdStarts9thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

91% this player83% defender median73rd percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
May 2016
Peak
€7M
Jan 2021
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
27
8 club changes
May 2026€400kAlanyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, Alanyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-05-27€500kCruzeiro Esporte Clube
2016-12-21€1MOlympiacos Piraeus
2017-05-11€1.8MOlympiacos Piraeus
2018-02-07€2.5MSC Braga
2018-06-13€4MSC Braga
2019-01-11€5MSC Braga
2019-06-07€6MSC Braga
2019-12-30€6MSC Braga
2020-04-08€4.8MSC Braga
2020-08-17€5.5MSC Braga
2021-01-28€7MSC Braga
2021-05-28€7MCR Flamengo
2021-09-10€3.5MCR Flamengo
2021-12-17€2MCR Flamengo
2022-05-28€1.8MWuhan Yangtze
2023-04-07€1.8MCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2023-07-25€1.6MCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2023-12-15€1.4MAl-Hazem SC
2024-06-04€1.2MAl-Hazem SC
2024-10-04€1.2MGaziantep FK
2024-12-23€1.2MGaziantep FK
2025-03-20€1.1MGaziantep FK
2025-06-27€900kGaziantep FK
2025-10-01€800kAlanyaspor
2025-12-17€700kAlanyaspor
2026-03-05€600kAlanyaspor
2026-05-21€400kAlanyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.095

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 15% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Viana appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).