FairValue

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Pape Habib

Guèye

CFSenegal · Kasimpasa

№ 585339Emerging €1.4M −0.16

Player dossierSüper Lig

Pape HabibGuèye

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Kasimpasa
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Senegal
Age
26
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Guèye at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Guèye during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 15% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.16A €1.4M▼ −0.53B €2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
2,813
Goals
12
Assists
1
Started
30/46
Min / app
61
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Guèye…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Pape Habib Guèye's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 74th, Assists per 90 12th, Minutes, two years 63rd, Starts 61st, Minutes, last 365 days 61st, European club minutes 28th74thGoals12thAssists63rdMinutes61stStarts61stRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.38 this player0.26 attacker median74th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Dec 2018
Peak
€1.5M
Jan 2022
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
20
5 club changes
May 2026€1.2MKasimpasaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Kasimpasa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-12-30€250kAalesunds FK
2019-12-29€500kAalesunds FK
2020-04-08€450kKV Kortrijk
2020-10-16€750kKV Kortrijk
2021-01-04€900kKV Kortrijk
2021-06-07€900kKV Kortrijk
2021-10-06€1.2MKV Kortrijk
2022-01-06€1.5MKV Kortrijk
2022-04-12€1.5MKV Kortrijk
2022-11-04€850kKV Kortrijk
2023-03-22€700kKV Kortrijk
2023-06-09€600kKV Kortrijk
2023-09-22€550kAberdeen FC
2023-12-05€550kAberdeen FC
2024-06-12€700kKristiansund BK
2024-10-02€1MAberdeen FC
2024-12-03€1MAberdeen FC
2025-06-17€1.2MAberdeen FC
2025-12-17€1.5MKasimpasa
2026-05-21€1.2MKasimpasa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.158

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Guèye appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).