Marcus
Bundgaard
GKDenmark · Sönderjyske Fodbold
Player dossierSuperliga
MarcusBundgaard
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Sönderjyske Fodbold
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Denmark
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 197 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Bundgaard at €850k. Model A, which never saw Bundgaard during training, estimates €834k: the market value is 2% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €900k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 25
- Minutes
- 2,220
- Started
- 25/25
- Min / app
- 89
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bundgaard…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €850k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Aug 2021
- Peak
- €850k
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €850k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €850k, Sönderjyske Fodbold. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-08-01 | €150k | Jammerbugt FC |
| 2021-12-28 | €150k | Jammerbugt FC |
| 2022-06-20 | €100k | Vendsyssel FF |
| 2022-09-13 | €150k | Vendsyssel FF |
| 2022-12-22 | €300k | Vendsyssel FF |
| 2023-06-26 | €350k | Vendsyssel FF |
| 2023-12-21 | €400k | Vendsyssel FF |
| 2024-06-13 | €500k | IF Elfsborg |
| 2024-09-26 | €400k | IF Elfsborg |
| 2024-12-20 | €350k | IF Elfsborg |
| 2025-06-16 | €550k | Sönderjyske Fodbold |
| 2025-12-15 | €850k | Sönderjyske Fodbold |
| 2026-05-25 | €850k | Sönderjyske Fodbold |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.019
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 51% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 45% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bundgaard appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PoulsenLBSilkeborg IF · Superliga€850k
- YakobCMAarhus GF · Superliga€850k
- RieperCBFC Fredericia · Superliga€850k
- ElviusRBHvidovre IF · Superliga€850k
- LopesGKFC Nantes · goalkeepers€900k
- TerraccianoGKAC Milan · goalkeepers€900k
- CrombruggeGKKRC Genk · goalkeepers€900k
- DiawGKLe Havre AC · goalkeepers€900k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).