FairValue

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Egor

Teslenko

CBRussia · Rubin Kazan

№ 584231Established €3.9M −0.33

Player dossierPremier Liga

EgorTeslenko

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Rubin Kazan
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
25
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Teslenko at €2.8M. Model A, which never saw Teslenko during training, estimates €3.9M: the market value is 28% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.33A €3.9M▼ −0.18B €3.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
67
Minutes
5,681
Goals
5
Assists
2
Started
64/67
Min / app
85
Cards
18Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Teslenko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.8MModel A €3.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Egor Teslenko's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 80th, Assists per 90 45th, Minutes, two years 90th, Starts 86th, Minutes, last 365 days 85th, European club minutes 30th80thGoals45thAssists90thMinutes86thStarts85thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,681 this player2,860 defender median90th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Sept 2018
Peak
€2.8M
May 2026
Model target
€2.8M
May 2026
Valuations
20
3 club changes
May 2026€2.8MRubin KazanValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.8M, Rubin Kazan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-09-20€25kEkaterinodar Krasnodar U19
2018-12-20€25kEkaterinodar Krasnodar U19
2019-12-23€100kCSKA Moscow II
2020-06-29€100kCSKA Moscow II
2020-12-29€200kKamAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
2021-06-28€300kKamAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
2021-09-15€350kKamAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
2021-12-07€500kKamAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
2022-06-02€500kRubin Kazan
2022-12-08€450kRubin Kazan
2023-06-19€600kRubin Kazan
2023-12-13€800kRubin Kazan
2024-06-04€700kRubin Kazan
2024-09-18€900kRubin Kazan
2024-12-12€1.5MRubin Kazan
2025-03-19€1.8MRubin Kazan
2025-06-04€2MRubin Kazan
2025-09-18€2.5MRubin Kazan
2025-12-16€2.5MRubin Kazan
2026-05-26€2.8MRubin Kazan

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.335

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 76% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 58% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Teslenko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).