FairValue

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Marcus

Pedersen

RBNorway · Torino FC

№ 583404Established €4.1M −0.17

Player dossierSerie A

MarcusPedersen

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Torino FC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Norway
Age
25
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pedersen at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Pedersen during training, estimates €4.1M: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.17A €4.1M▼ −0.19B €4.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
63
Minutes
3,796
Goals
1
Assists
4
Started
42/63
Min / app
60
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pedersen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €4.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Marcus Pedersen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 43rd, Assists per 90 76th, Minutes, two years 66th, Starts 23rd, Minutes, last 365 days 72nd, European club minutes 30th43rdGoals76thAssists66thMinutes23rdStarts72ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.09 this player0.04 defender median76th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2019
Peak
€7M
Jun 2023
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
19
4 club changes
May 2026€3.5MTorino FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, Torino FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-09-15€100kTromsø IL
2019-12-29€100kTromsø IL
2020-07-25€500kMolde FK
2020-12-31€500kMolde FK
2021-07-26€1MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2021-10-04€2MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2022-01-05€4.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2022-06-08€4.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2022-09-14€5.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2022-11-11€5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2023-03-17€6.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2023-06-23€7MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2023-12-20€6.5MUS Sassuolo
2024-06-05€5.5MUS Sassuolo
2024-12-18€4.5MTorino FC
2025-03-25€3.5MTorino FC
2025-06-17€3MTorino FC
2025-12-23€3.5MTorino FC
2026-05-29€3.5MTorino FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.170

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 34% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 63% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pedersen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).