FairValue

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Daniel

Lajud

RWLebanon · Roda JC Kerkrade

№ 570560Emerging €411k +0.09

Player dossierEredivisie

DanielLajud

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Roda JC Kerkrade
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Lebanon
Age
26
Height
170 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
16 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Lajud at €450k. Model A, which never saw Lajud during training, estimates €411k: the market value is 10% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €609k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.09A €411k▼ −0.30B €609k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
19
Minutes
814
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
9/19
Min / app
43
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lajud…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €450k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €450kModel A €411k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Daniel Lajud's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 3rd, Assists per 90 36th, Minutes, two years 13th, Starts 31st, Minutes, last 365 days 8th, European club minutes 28th3rdGoals36thAssists13thMinutes31stStarts8thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.11 this player0.15 attacker median36th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Feb 2019
Peak
€1M
Jul 2023
Model target
€450k
Dec 2025
Valuations
14
6 club changes
Dec 2025€450kRoda JC KerkradeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €450k, Roda JC Kerkrade. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-02-08€300kQuerétaro FC
2019-08-13€400kPuebla FC
2020-01-10€300kTampico Madero
2020-12-22€300kTampico Madero
2022-06-24€350kRaya2 Expansión (- 2023)
2022-11-17€950kCF Atlante
2023-07-06€1MCF Atlante
2023-12-06€1MCF Atlante
2024-06-26€1MCF Atlante
2024-09-26€900kPanetolikos GFS
2024-12-18€800kPanetolikos GFS
2025-05-23€700kPanetolikos GFS
2025-10-16€600kRoda JC Kerkrade
2025-12-16€450kRoda JC Kerkrade

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.091

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 22% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€450kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 14% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€450kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lajud appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).