Daniel
Lajud
RWLebanon · Roda JC Kerkrade
Player dossierEredivisie
DanielLajud
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Roda JC Kerkrade
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Lebanon
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 170 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 16 Dec 2025
EredivisieReading the valuation
The market values Lajud at €450k. Model A, which never saw Lajud during training, estimates €411k: the market value is 10% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €609k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 19
- Minutes
- 814
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 9/19
- Min / app
- 43
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lajud…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €450k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Assists per 90
Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.
0.11 this player0.15 attacker median36th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Feb 2019
- Peak
- €1M
- Jul 2023
- Model target
- €450k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 14
- 6 club changes
Dec 2025: €450k, Roda JC Kerkrade. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-02-08 | €300k | Querétaro FC |
| 2019-08-13 | €400k | Puebla FC |
| 2020-01-10 | €300k | Tampico Madero |
| 2020-12-22 | €300k | Tampico Madero |
| 2022-06-24 | €350k | Raya2 Expansión (- 2023) |
| 2022-11-17 | €950k | CF Atlante |
| 2023-07-06 | €1M | CF Atlante |
| 2023-12-06 | €1M | CF Atlante |
| 2024-06-26 | €1M | CF Atlante |
| 2024-09-26 | €900k | Panetolikos GFS |
| 2024-12-18 | €800k | Panetolikos GFS |
| 2025-05-23 | €700k | Panetolikos GFS |
| 2025-10-16 | €600k | Roda JC Kerkrade |
| 2025-12-16 | €450k | Roda JC Kerkrade |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.091
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 22% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 14% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Lajud appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PetersonLWFortuna Sittard · Eredivisie€450k
- BakkerCBSC Telstar · Eredivisie€450k
- MiraniCBHeracles Almelo · Eredivisie€450k
- HardeveldLMSC Telstar · Eredivisie€450k
- OzegovicCFLevadiakos · attackers€450k
- MarkovCFUral Yekaterinburg · attackers€450k
- AlshinLWFakel Voronezh · attackers€450k
- MirzovLWArsenal Tula · attackers€450k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).