FairValue

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Valentin

Gendrey

RBFrance · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

№ 569387Established €3.5M +0.53

Player dossierBundesliga

ValentinGendrey

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
France
Age
25
Height
179 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gendrey at €6M. Model A, which never saw Gendrey during training, estimates €3.5M: the market value is 71% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.71. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.53A €3.5M▲ +0.87B €2.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
2,221
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
23/39
Min / app
57
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gendrey…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €3.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Valentin Gendrey's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 92nd, Assists per 90 90th, Minutes, two years 38th, Starts 14th, Minutes, last 365 days 3rd, European club minutes 81st92ndGoals90thAssists38thMinutes14thStarts3rdRecent81stEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.12 this player0.03 defender median92nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Sept 2018
Peak
€8.5M
Oct 2024
Model target
€6M
May 2026
Valuations
19
3 club changes
May 2026€6MTSG 1899 HoffenheimValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €6M, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-09-06€150kAmiens SC B
2018-12-17€150kAmiens SC B
2019-06-03€150kAmiens SC B
2019-12-19€150kAmiens SC
2020-11-11€300kAmiens SC
2021-03-11€400kAmiens SC
2021-06-25€500kAmiens SC
2021-12-29€1MUS Lecce
2022-06-06€1.7MUS Lecce
2022-11-11€2.6MUS Lecce
2023-03-21€4MUS Lecce
2023-06-15€4MUS Lecce
2023-12-20€4.5MUS Lecce
2024-06-05€7MUS Lecce
2024-10-09€8.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2024-12-20€8.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2025-06-05€7MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2025-12-19€7MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2026-05-27€6MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.534

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 53% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 73% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gendrey appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).