FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Radu Drăgușin

Radu

Drăgușin

CBRomania · Tottenham Hotspur

№ 568559Elite €12.3M +0.27

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

RaduDrăgușin

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Tottenham Hotspur
League
Premier League
Nationality
Romania
Age
24
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Drăgușin at €16M. Model A, which never saw Drăgușin during training, estimates €12.3M: the market value is 30% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.27A €12.3M▲ +0.55B €9.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
35
Minutes
2,402
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
27/35
Min / app
69
Cards
4Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Drăgușin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €16M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €16MModel A €12.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Radu Drăgușin's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 42nd, Starts 39th, Minutes, last 365 days 14th, European club minutes 88th18thGoals17thAssists42ndMinutes39thStarts14thRecent88thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

23% this player0% defender median88th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€800k
Jan 2021
Peak
€25M
Mar 2024
Model target
€16M
Jun 2026
Valuations
17
4 club changes
Jun 2026€16MTottenham HotspurValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €16M, Tottenham Hotspur. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-01-11€800kJuventus FC
2021-03-23€3MJuventus FC
2021-06-03€3MJuventus FC
2021-12-28€3.5MUC Sampdoria
2022-06-07€3.5MUS Salernitana 1919
2022-12-22€3.5MGenoa CFC
2023-03-20€5MGenoa CFC
2023-06-12€8MGenoa CFC
2023-10-11€10MGenoa CFC
2023-12-20€20MGenoa CFC
2024-03-14€25MTottenham Hotspur
2024-05-27€25MTottenham Hotspur
2024-12-16€25MTottenham Hotspur
2025-05-30€25MTottenham Hotspur
2025-12-09€22MTottenham Hotspur
2026-03-09€20MTottenham Hotspur
2026-06-03€16MTottenham Hotspur

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.266

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 46% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€16MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 88% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€16MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Drăgușin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).