FairValue

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Dodô

RBBrazil · ACF Fiorentina

№ 401529Elite €10.2M +0.45

Player dossierSerie A

Dodô

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
ACF Fiorentina
League
Serie A
Nationality
Brazil
Age
27
Height
166 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dodô at €16M. Model A, which never saw Dodô during training, estimates €10.2M: the market value is 57% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €12.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.45A €10.2M▲ +0.24B €12.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
76
Minutes
6,656
Goals
2
Assists
8
Started
75/76
Min / app
88
Cards
16Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dodô…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €16M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €16MModel A €10.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dodô's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 46th, Assists per 90 79th, Minutes, two years 96th, Starts 94th, Minutes, last 365 days 94th, European club minutes 66th46thGoals79thAssists96thMinutes94thStarts94thRecent66thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,656 this player2,860 defender median96th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
May 2016
Peak
€24M
Jun 2025
Model target
€16M
May 2026
Valuations
22
3 club changes
May 2026€16MACF FiorentinaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €16M, ACF Fiorentina. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-05-27€500kCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2016-07-23€1MCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2016-11-28€2MCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2017-12-07€2MCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2018-11-01€2MVitória Guimarães SC
2019-01-11€2MVitória Guimarães SC
2019-06-07€2MVitória Guimarães SC
2020-01-08€4MShakhtar Donetsk
2020-04-08€3.6MShakhtar Donetsk
2020-09-04€10MShakhtar Donetsk
2021-01-14€18MShakhtar Donetsk
2021-06-07€20MShakhtar Donetsk
2021-12-20€20MShakhtar Donetsk
2022-05-18€20MShakhtar Donetsk
2022-11-11€17MACF Fiorentina
2023-06-15€20MACF Fiorentina
2023-12-20€20MACF Fiorentina
2024-06-05€17MACF Fiorentina
2024-12-18€22MACF Fiorentina
2025-06-17€24MACF Fiorentina
2025-12-23€18MACF Fiorentina
2026-05-29€16MACF Fiorentina

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.451

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 79% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€16MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 88% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€16MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dodô appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).