FairValue

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Portrait of Micky van de Ven

Micky van de

Ven

CBNetherlands · Tottenham Hotspur

№ 557459World Class €43.4M +0.14

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

Micky van deVen

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Tottenham Hotspur
League
Premier League
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
25
Height
193 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ven at €50M. Model A, which never saw Ven during training, estimates €43.4M: the market value is 15% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €30.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.14A €43.4M▲ +0.51B €30.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
66
Minutes
5,607
Goals
7
Assists
3
Started
65/66
Min / app
85
Cards
17Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ven…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €50M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €50MModel A €43.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Micky van de Ven's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 90th, Assists per 90 55th, Minutes, two years 90th, Starts 93rd, Minutes, last 365 days 98th, European club minutes 91st90thGoals55thAssists90thMinutes93rdStarts98thRecent91stEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,943 this player1,687 defender median98th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1.3M
Jan 2020
Peak
€65M
Dec 2025
Model target
€50M
Jun 2026
Valuations
21
2 club changes
Jun 2026€50MTottenham HotspurValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €50M, Tottenham Hotspur. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-01-17€1.3MFC Volendam
2020-04-08€1.1MFC Volendam
2020-06-29€1.3MFC Volendam
2020-10-24€1.2MFC Volendam
2020-12-31€1.3MFC Volendam
2021-10-07€3MVfL Wolfsburg
2021-12-22€3MVfL Wolfsburg
2022-06-09€4MVfL Wolfsburg
2022-09-21€8MVfL Wolfsburg
2022-11-09€8MVfL Wolfsburg
2023-03-29€18MVfL Wolfsburg
2023-06-22€30MVfL Wolfsburg
2023-10-09€40MTottenham Hotspur
2023-12-19€45MTottenham Hotspur
2024-03-14€50MTottenham Hotspur
2024-05-27€55MTottenham Hotspur
2024-12-16€55MTottenham Hotspur
2025-05-30€50MTottenham Hotspur
2025-10-17€55MTottenham Hotspur
2025-12-09€65MTottenham Hotspur
2026-06-03€50MTottenham Hotspur

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.141

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 88% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€50MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 98% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€50MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ven appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).