Vasilios
Sourlis
CMGreece · AE Larisa
Player dossierSuper League
VasiliosSourlis
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- AE Larisa
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Greece
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Sourlis at €400k. Model A, which never saw Sourlis during training, estimates €498k: the market value is 20% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.24. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €800k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 32
- Minutes
- 1,773
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 21/32
- Min / app
- 55
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sourlis…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
66% this player69% midfielder median44th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- May 2021
- Peak
- €500k
- Jun 2022
- Model target
- €400k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 12
- 6 club changes
Jun 2026: €400k, AE Larisa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-30 | €150k | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2021-11-01 | €300k | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2022-06-27 | €500k | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2022-11-11 | €500k | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2023-06-19 | €450k | Olympiacos Piraeus B |
| 2023-12-20 | €500k | Asteras Tripolis |
| 2024-05-30 | €450k | Asteras Tripolis |
| 2024-10-16 | €400k | Without Club |
| 2025-05-23 | €400k | PAS Lamia 1964 |
| 2025-12-12 | €350k | AE Larisa |
| 2026-03-06 | €400k | AE Larisa |
| 2026-06-04 | €400k | AE Larisa |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.219
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 29% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 12% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Sourlis appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LovrenCBPAOK Thessaloniki · Super League€400k
- ChoutesiotisGKAtromitos Athens · Super League€400k
- HermannssonCBVolos NFC · Super League€400k
- GarcíaCBPanetolikos · Super League€400k
- WassCMBröndby IF · midfielders€400k
- CheryAMNEC Nijmegen · midfielders€400k
- BrasanacCMMálaga CF · midfielders€400k
- BruggenDMCercle Brugge · midfielders€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).