FairValue

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Tim

Lemperle

CFGermany · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

№ 553285Elite €13.6M +0.22

Player dossierBundesliga

TimLemperle

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
24
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Lemperle at €17M. Model A, which never saw Lemperle during training, estimates €13.6M: the market value is 25% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.22A €13.6M▲ +2.10B €2.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
31
Minutes
2,112
Goals
8
Assists
2
Started
26/31
Min / app
68
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lemperle…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €17M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €17MModel A €13.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Tim Lemperle's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 65th, Assists per 90 26th, Minutes, two years 47th, Starts 88th, Minutes, last 365 days 77th, European club minutes 28th65thGoals26thAssists47thMinutes88thStarts77thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

84% this player59% attacker median88th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jul 2020
Peak
€17M
May 2026
Model target
€17M
May 2026
Valuations
17
3 club changes
May 2026€17MTSG 1899 HoffenheimValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €17M, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-07-08€300k1.FC Köln
2021-02-10€300k1.FC Köln
2021-06-09€300k1.FC Köln
2021-10-07€1M1.FC Köln
2021-12-22€1M1.FC Köln
2022-06-09€2M1.FC Köln
2022-11-09€2M1.FC Köln
2023-06-22€1.5M1.FC Köln
2023-12-15€2MSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2024-06-06€2.5MSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2024-09-25€3M1.FC Köln
2024-12-19€5M1.FC Köln
2025-06-19€5M1.FC Köln
2025-10-14€8MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2025-12-19€12MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2026-03-20€15MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2026-05-27€17MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.221

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 78% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€17MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 84% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€17MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lemperle appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).