FairValue

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Nahuel

Estévez

DMArgentina · Parma Calcio 1913

№ 552472Emerging €1.7M −0.20

Player dossierSerie A

NahuelEstévez

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Parma Calcio 1913
League
Serie A
Nationality
Argentina
Age
30
Height
181 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Estévez at €1.4M. Model A, which never saw Estévez during training, estimates €1.7M: the market value is 18% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €612k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.20A €1.7M▲ +0.83B €612k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
50
Minutes
1,914
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
18/50
Min / app
38
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Estévez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.4MModel A €1.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Nahuel Estévez's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 27th, Minutes, two years 34th, Starts 8th, Minutes, last 365 days 38th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals27thAssists34thMinutes8thStarts38thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,165 this player1,541 midfielder median38th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Dec 2018
Peak
€3.5M
Jun 2024
Model target
€1.4M
May 2026
Valuations
20
3 club changes
May 2026€1.4MParma Calcio 1913Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.4M, Parma Calcio 1913. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-12-18€75kClub Estudiantes de La Plata
2019-08-06€350kClub Estudiantes de La Plata
2019-12-05€350kClub Estudiantes de La Plata
2020-04-08€300kClub Estudiantes de La Plata
2020-10-29€750kSpezia Calcio
2020-12-29€1MSpezia Calcio
2021-03-23€2MSpezia Calcio
2021-06-03€2MSpezia Calcio
2021-12-29€1.5MFC Crotone
2022-06-06€1.4MFC Crotone
2022-12-22€1.4MParma Calcio 1913
2023-06-12€1.4MParma Calcio 1913
2023-10-11€1.8MParma Calcio 1913
2023-12-27€2MParma Calcio 1913
2024-06-03€3.5MParma Calcio 1913
2024-12-18€3.5MParma Calcio 1913
2025-06-17€2MParma Calcio 1913
2025-10-07€1.5MParma Calcio 1913
2025-12-23€1.5MParma Calcio 1913
2026-05-29€1.4MParma Calcio 1913

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.199

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 14% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.4MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Estévez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).