Luka
Ilic
AMSerbia · Real Oviedo
Player dossierLaLiga
LukaIlic
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Real Oviedo
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Serbia
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Ilic at €1.4M. Model A, which never saw Ilic during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.28. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 27
- Minutes
- 957
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 10/27
- Min / app
- 35
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ilic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Goals per 90
Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.
0.19 this player0.08 midfielder median80th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €2M
- Jan 2018
- Peak
- €2.5M
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €1.4M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 20
- 8 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.4M, Real Oviedo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-01-10 | €2M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2018-12-28 | €1.5M | NAC Breda |
| 2019-06-12 | €1M | NAC Breda |
| 2020-04-08 | €900k | NAC Breda |
| 2020-06-29 | €1.2M | NAC Breda |
| 2020-10-14 | €1.2M | FC Twente Enschede |
| 2021-01-06 | €1M | FC Twente Enschede |
| 2021-05-19 | €950k | FC Twente Enschede |
| 2022-01-05 | €800k | Manchester City |
| 2022-05-30 | €700k | ESTAC Troyes |
| 2022-11-18 | €1.5M | FK TSC Backa Topola |
| 2023-06-22 | €2.5M | FK TSC Backa Topola |
| 2023-10-27 | €2M | ESTAC Troyes |
| 2023-12-13 | €2M | ESTAC Troyes |
| 2024-06-11 | €1.5M | ESTAC Troyes |
| 2024-12-27 | €1.8M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2025-06-12 | €2M | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2025-12-12 | €2M | Real Oviedo |
| 2026-03-16 | €1.8M | Real Oviedo |
| 2026-06-05 | €1.4M | Real Oviedo |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.249
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ilic appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RodríguezLBReal Betis Balompié · LaLiga€1.4M
- DjenéCBGetafe CF · LaLiga€1.4M
- LatoLBRCD Mallorca · LaLiga€1.4M
- MoreyRBRCD Mallorca · LaLiga€1.4M
- RobertoCMComo 1907 · midfielders€1.4M
- GrassiDMUS Cremonese · midfielders€1.4M
- SiboCMReal Oviedo · midfielders€1.4M
- EstévezDMParma Calcio 1913 · midfielders€1.4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).