Matteo
Darmian
RBItaly · Inter Milan
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierSerie A
MatteoDarmian
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Inter Milan
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 36
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Darmian at €1.4M. Model A, which never saw Darmian during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 5% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €590k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 58
- Minutes
- 3,384
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 37/58
- Min / app
- 58
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Darmian…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
29% this player0% defender median95th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2007
- Peak
- €15M
- Oct 2015
- Model target
- €1.4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 41
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €1.4M, Inter Milan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2007-08-03 | €50k | AC Milan |
| 2008-07-04 | €200k | AC Milan |
| 2009-02-06 | €300k | AC Milan |
| 2010-02-09 | €500k | Calcio Padova |
| 2010-07-19 | €1M | US Palermo |
| 2011-01-10 | €800k | US Palermo |
| 2011-06-21 | €800k | US Palermo |
| 2012-01-01 | €800k | Torino FC |
| 2012-06-12 | €900k | Torino FC |
| 2013-01-14 | €1.5M | Torino FC |
| 2013-06-19 | €2.4M | Torino FC |
| 2014-01-07 | €3M | Torino FC |
| 2014-03-10 | €4.5M | Torino FC |
| 2014-07-11 | €8M | Torino FC |
| 2015-01-07 | €8M | Torino FC |
| 2015-07-01 | €12M | Torino FC |
| 2015-10-14 | €15M | Manchester United |
| 2016-02-09 | €15M | Manchester United |
| 2016-06-01 | €15M | Manchester United |
| 2016-08-01 | €15M | Manchester United |
| 2017-02-20 | €12M | Manchester United |
| 2017-06-28 | €12M | Manchester United |
| 2018-01-02 | €12M | Manchester United |
| 2018-05-28 | €10M | Manchester United |
| 2018-12-19 | €10M | Manchester United |
| 2019-06-13 | €10M | Manchester United |
| 2019-12-12 | €8M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2020-04-08 | €6.5M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2020-08-25 | €6.5M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2020-12-29 | €7M | Inter Milan |
| 2021-06-03 | €7M | Inter Milan |
| 2021-12-28 | €7M | Inter Milan |
| 2022-06-07 | €5M | Inter Milan |
| 2022-11-11 | €4M | Inter Milan |
| 2023-06-15 | €4M | Inter Milan |
| 2023-12-20 | €4M | Inter Milan |
| 2024-06-05 | €4M | Inter Milan |
| 2024-12-18 | €4M | Inter Milan |
| 2025-06-17 | €2.5M | Inter Milan |
| 2025-12-23 | €1.5M | Inter Milan |
| 2026-05-29 | €1.4M | Inter Milan |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.054
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 14% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 42% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Darmian appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RobertoCMComo 1907 · Serie A€1.4M
- GrassiDMUS Cremonese · Serie A€1.4M
- FranjicLBVenezia FC · Serie A€1.4M
- OkerekeCFUS Cremonese · Serie A€1.4M
- RodríguezLBReal Betis Balompié · defenders€1.4M
- DjenéCBGetafe CF · defenders€1.4M
- LatoLBRCD Mallorca · defenders€1.4M
- MoreyRBRCD Mallorca · defenders€1.4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).