FairValue

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Portrait of Lameck Banda

Lameck

Banda

LWZambia · US Lecce

№ 545538Established €4.7M −0.30

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

LameckBanda

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
US Lecce
League
Serie A
Nationality
Zambia
Age
25
Height
169 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Banda at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Banda during training, estimates €4.7M: the market value is 26% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.30A €4.7M▲ +0.45B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
50
Minutes
2,489
Goals
5
Assists
6
Started
29/50
Min / app
50
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Banda…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €4.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Lameck Banda's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 31st, Assists per 90 75th, Minutes, two years 56th, Starts 48th, Minutes, last 365 days 67th, European club minutes 28th31stGoals75thAssists56thMinutes48thStarts67thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.22 this player0.15 attacker median75th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jul 2019
Peak
€6M
Dec 2023
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
18
3 club changes
May 2026€3.5MUS LecceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, US Lecce. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-07-28€300kArsenal Tula
2019-12-23€350kArsenal Tula
2020-04-08€325kArsenal Tula
2020-07-29€300kArsenal Tula
2020-12-26€300kMaccabi Netanya
2021-05-29€250kMaccabi Netanya
2021-12-31€200kMaccabi Petah Tikva
2022-06-04€300kMaccabi Petah Tikva
2022-09-27€2MUS Lecce
2022-11-11€3MUS Lecce
2023-06-15€4MUS Lecce
2023-12-20€6MUS Lecce
2024-06-05€6MUS Lecce
2024-12-18€6MUS Lecce
2025-06-17€4.5MUS Lecce
2025-10-07€3MUS Lecce
2025-12-23€3MUS Lecce
2026-05-29€3.5MUS Lecce

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.300

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 34% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 56% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Banda appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).