FairValue

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Kevin

Pina

DMCape Verde · FC Krasnodar

№ 544586Established €4.6M +0.08

Player dossierPremier Liga

KevinPina

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Krasnodar
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Cape Verde
Age
29
Height
177 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pina at €5M. Model A, which never saw Pina during training, estimates €4.6M: the market value is 9% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.09. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.08A €4.6M▲ +0.40B €3.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
73
Minutes
4,357
Goals
6
Assists
1
Started
49/73
Min / app
60
Cards
17Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pina…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €4.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Kevin Pina's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 64th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 79th, Starts 46th, Minutes, last 365 days 63rd, European club minutes 30th64thGoals17thAssists79thMinutes46thStarts63rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,357 this player2,607 midfielder median79th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Nov 2020
Peak
€5M
Jun 2025
Model target
€5M
May 2026
Valuations
14
1 club change
May 2026€5MFC KrasnodarValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €5M, FC Krasnodar. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-11-02€75kGD Chaves
2021-06-29€100kGD Chaves
2022-04-01€275kGD Chaves
2022-06-27€300kGD Chaves
2022-09-12€800kFC Krasnodar
2022-11-21€1MFC Krasnodar
2023-06-14€1.5MFC Krasnodar
2023-12-13€1.2MFC Krasnodar
2024-06-04€1MFC Krasnodar
2024-09-18€2MFC Krasnodar
2024-12-12€3.5MFC Krasnodar
2025-06-04€5MFC Krasnodar
2025-12-16€4.5MFC Krasnodar
2026-05-26€5MFC Krasnodar

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.082

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 86% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pina appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).