FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Oisin

McEntee

DMIreland · Heart of Midlothian FC

№ 541448Emerging €1.5M −1.12

Player dossierPremiership

OisinMcEntee

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Heart of Midlothian FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
Ireland
Age
25
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
20 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values McEntee at €500k. Model A, which never saw McEntee during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 67% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.12A €1.5M▼ −0.72B €1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
2,022
Goals
2
Assists
3
Started
25/28
Min / app
72
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for McEntee…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €1.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Oisin McEntee's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 66th, Minutes, two years 37th, Starts 86th, Minutes, last 365 days 65th, European club minutes 30th52ndGoals66thAssists37thMinutes86thStarts65thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

89% this player69% midfielder median86th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€125k
Dec 2021
Peak
€500k
May 2026
Model target
€500k
May 2026
Valuations
9
2 club changes
May 2026€500kHeart of Midlothian FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €500k, Heart of Midlothian FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-12-31€125kGreenock Morton FC
2023-04-06€100kWalsall FC
2023-06-23€100kWalsall FC
2023-12-29€225kWalsall FC
2024-06-27€225kWalsall FC
2024-12-30€175kWalsall FC
2025-06-30€200kWalsall FC
2025-12-10€200kHeart of Midlothian FC
2026-05-20€500kHeart of Midlothian FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.118

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 55% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 16% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where McEntee appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).