Valentyn
Morgun
GKUkraine · Dynamo Kyiv
Player dossierPremier Liha
ValentynMorgun
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Dynamo Kyiv
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Ukraine
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Morgun at €500k. Model A, which never saw Morgun during training, estimates €270k: the market value is 85% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.85. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €501k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 6
- Minutes
- 540
- Started
- 6/6
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Morgun…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jan 2021
- Peak
- €500k
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €500k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €500k, Dynamo Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-14 | €50k | Dynamo Kyiv II |
| 2021-06-07 | €100k | Dynamo Kyiv II |
| 2021-12-20 | €100k | Dynamo Kyiv U19 |
| 2022-05-18 | €100k | Dynamo Kyiv U19 |
| 2022-12-06 | €50k | Dynamo Kyiv U19 |
| 2023-06-21 | €50k | Dynamo Kyiv U19 |
| 2023-09-14 | €100k | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2023-12-11 | €100k | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2024-06-06 | €100k | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2024-12-17 | €100k | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2025-06-10 | €200k | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2025-12-18 | €500k | Dynamo Kyiv |
| 2026-06-02 | €500k | Dynamo Kyiv |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.618
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 52% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 27% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Morgun appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- StepanenkoDMKolos Kovalivka · Premier Liha€500k
- ChachuaAMKarpaty Lviv · Premier Liha€500k
- TopalovLWShakhtar Donetsk · Premier Liha€500k
- PutryaRBLNZ Cherkasy · Premier Liha€500k
- GünokGKFenerbahce · goalkeepers€500k
- SteeleGKBrighton & Hove Albion · goalkeepers€500k
- DúbravkaGKBurnley FC · goalkeepers€500k
- SilvestriGKUS Cremonese · goalkeepers€500k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).