FairValue

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Kwasi

Sibo

CMGhana · Real Oviedo

№ 538006Emerging €2M −0.35

Player dossierLaLiga

KwasiSibo

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Real Oviedo
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Ghana
Age
27
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sibo at €1.4M. Model A, which never saw Sibo during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 30% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.35A €2M▲ +0.28B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
27
Minutes
1,806
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
22/27
Min / app
67
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sibo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.4MModel A €2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Kwasi Sibo's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 32nd, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 58th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals8thAssists32ndMinutes73rdStarts58thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

81% this player69% midfielder median73rd percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Oct 2017
Peak
€1.5M
Oct 2025
Model target
€1.4M
Jun 2026
Valuations
24
5 club changes
Jun 2026€1.4MReal OviedoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.4M, Real Oviedo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-10-27€100kFC Banants Yerevan
2017-12-12€125kFC Banants Yerevan
2018-03-19€175kFC Banants Yerevan
2018-06-14€200kFC Banants Yerevan
2019-09-10€200kUD Ibiza
2020-02-11€200kUD Ibiza
2020-10-08€200kUD Ibiza
2021-01-08€200kUD Ibiza
2021-06-30€200kWatford FC
2021-12-30€200kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2022-06-29€200kBetis Deportivo Balompié
2022-12-29€200kSD Amorebieta
2023-06-30€300kSD Amorebieta
2023-12-20€300kSD Amorebieta
2024-03-26€400kSD Amorebieta
2024-06-24€500kSD Amorebieta
2024-10-14€600kReal Oviedo
2024-12-13€800kReal Oviedo
2025-03-27€1MReal Oviedo
2025-06-24€1MReal Oviedo
2025-10-02€1.5MReal Oviedo
2025-12-12€1.4MReal Oviedo
2026-03-16€1.5MReal Oviedo
2026-06-05€1.4MReal Oviedo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.350

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 18% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.4MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sibo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).