FairValue

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Portrait of Dean James

Dean

James

LBIndonesia · Go Ahead Eagles

№ 529223Emerging €1.6M +0.03

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierEredivisie

DeanJames

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Go Ahead Eagles
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Indonesia
Age
26
Height
177 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values James at €1.7M. Model A, which never saw James during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 3% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.03A €1.6M▼ −1.63B €8.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
4,718
Goals
3
Assists
7
Started
53/68
Min / app
69
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for James…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.7MModel A €1.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dean James's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 69th, Assists per 90 85th, Minutes, two years 79th, Starts 40th, Minutes, last 365 days 77th, European club minutes 82nd69thGoals85thAssists79thMinutes40thStarts77thRecent82ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.13 this player0.04 defender median85th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Dec 2020
Peak
€2M
Dec 2025
Model target
€1.7M
May 2026
Valuations
15
1 club change
May 2026€1.7MGo Ahead EaglesValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.7M, Go Ahead Eagles. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-12-31€200kFC Volendam
2021-10-12€150kFC Volendam
2022-01-12€175kFC Volendam
2022-03-24€225kFC Volendam
2022-06-23€250kFC Volendam
2022-11-11€250kFC Volendam
2023-06-23€250kFC Volendam
2023-12-15€250kGo Ahead Eagles
2024-05-31€250kGo Ahead Eagles
2024-10-14€500kGo Ahead Eagles
2024-12-17€550kGo Ahead Eagles
2025-03-28€1MGo Ahead Eagles
2025-05-28€1.8MGo Ahead Eagles
2025-12-02€2MGo Ahead Eagles
2026-05-28€1.7MGo Ahead Eagles

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.030

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 60% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€1.7MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 48% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where James appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).