FairValue

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Jorg

Schreuders

LWNetherlands · FC Groningen

№ 671735Emerging €3.5M −0.73

Player dossierEredivisie

JorgSchreuders

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
FC Groningen
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
21
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Schreuders at €1.7M. Model A, which never saw Schreuders during training, estimates €3.5M: the market value is 52% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.73A €3.5M▼ −1.12B €5.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
69
Minutes
4,972
Goals
6
Assists
6
Started
57/69
Min / app
72
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Schreuders…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.7MModel A €3.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Jorg Schreuders's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 16th, Assists per 90 35th, Minutes, two years 91st, Starts 86th, Minutes, last 365 days 94th, European club minutes 28th16thGoals35thAssists91stMinutes86thStarts94thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,920 this player1,301 attacker median94th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Mar 2023
Peak
€1.7M
May 2026
Model target
€1.7M
May 2026
Valuations
10
0 club changes
May 2026€1.7MFC GroningenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.7M, FC Groningen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-03-17€25kFC Groningen
2023-06-23€175kFC Groningen
2024-01-08€450kFC Groningen
2024-06-10€650kFC Groningen
2024-10-14€1.3MFC Groningen
2024-12-17€1.5MFC Groningen
2025-03-28€1.2MFC Groningen
2025-05-28€1.2MFC Groningen
2025-12-02€1.5MFC Groningen
2026-05-28€1.7MFC Groningen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.725

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 60% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€1.7MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 42% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Schreuders appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).