FairValue

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Sverrir Ingi

Ingason

CBIceland · Panathinaikos

№ 137648Emerging €1M +0.56

Player dossierSuper League

Sverrir IngiIngason

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Panathinaikos
League
Super League
Nationality
Iceland
Age
32
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ingason at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Ingason during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 76% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.76. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.56A €1M▲ +0.42B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
58
Minutes
5,004
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
56/58
Min / app
86
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ingason…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Sverrir Ingi Ingason's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 39th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 83rd, Starts 88th, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 93rd39thGoals17thAssists83rdMinutes88thStarts73rdRecent93rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

28% this player0% defender median93rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Nov 2012
Peak
€6M
Feb 2021
Model target
€1.8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
32
7 club changes
Jun 2026€1.8MPanathinaikosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.8M, Panathinaikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-11-12€50kBreidablik Kópavogur
2014-07-29€500kViking FK
2014-12-07€700kViking FK
2015-06-24€900kKSC Lokeren (-2020)
2016-02-07€900kKSC Lokeren (-2020)
2016-06-01€1MKSC Lokeren (-2020)
2016-07-15€1MKSC Lokeren (-2020)
2017-01-24€1.2MGranada CF
2017-06-05€1.2MGranada CF
2017-10-02€1.8MFC Rostov
2017-12-23€2.5MFC Rostov
2018-06-06€3.2MFC Rostov
2018-12-20€4.5MFC Rostov
2019-02-07€5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2019-05-21€5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2019-09-23€4MPAOK Thessaloniki
2019-12-18€4MPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-04-08€3.2MPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-08-04€3.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-10-12€4.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-02-12€6MPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-11-01€5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2022-06-09€5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2022-11-07€5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2023-05-22€4MPAOK Thessaloniki
2023-12-21€4MFC Midtjylland
2024-06-10€4MFC Midtjylland
2024-09-26€3.5MPanathinaikos
2024-12-18€3MPanathinaikos
2025-05-23€2.5MPanathinaikos
2025-12-12€2MPanathinaikos
2026-06-04€1.8MPanathinaikos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.563

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 77% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 48% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ingason appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).