FairValue

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Portrait of Andrei Rațiu

Andrei

Rațiu

RBRomania · Rayo Vallecano

№ 527966Elite €6.2M +1.07

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLaLiga

AndreiRațiu

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Rayo Vallecano
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Romania
Age
27
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Rațiu at €18M. Model A, which never saw Rațiu during training, estimates €6.2M: the market value is 193% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.93. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.07A €6.2M▲ +0.90B €7.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
74
Minutes
6,039
Goals
2
Assists
7
Started
66/74
Min / app
82
Cards
15Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rațiu…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €18M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €18MModel A €6.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Andrei Rațiu's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 48th, Assists per 90 78th, Minutes, two years 93rd, Starts 67th, Minutes, last 365 days 88th, European club minutes 61st48thGoals78thAssists93rdMinutes67thStarts88thRecent61stEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,039 this player2,860 defender median93rd percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Oct 2018
Peak
€18M
Dec 2025
Model target
€18M
Jun 2026
Valuations
23
4 club changes
Jun 2026€18MRayo VallecanoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €18M, Rayo Vallecano. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-10-31€150kVillarreal CF B
2019-02-19€250kVillarreal CF B
2019-06-29€300kVillarreal CF B
2019-09-10€300kVillarreal CF B
2020-02-11€300kVillarreal CF B
2020-10-14€300kADO Den Haag
2021-03-19€300kVillarreal CF
2021-06-30€300kVillarreal CF
2021-10-13€600kSD Huesca
2021-12-27€1MSD Huesca
2022-06-29€1MSD Huesca
2022-12-29€1MSD Huesca
2023-03-24€1.5MSD Huesca
2023-06-14€1.5MSD Huesca
2023-12-22€1.5MRayo Vallecano
2024-06-07€1.4MRayo Vallecano
2024-07-18€3MRayo Vallecano
2024-10-11€4MRayo Vallecano
2024-12-27€7MRayo Vallecano
2025-03-21€12MRayo Vallecano
2025-06-09€12MRayo Vallecano
2025-12-12€18MRayo Vallecano
2026-06-05€18MRayo Vallecano

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.073

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 84% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 89% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Rațiu appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).