FairValue

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Alexander

Sørloth

CFNorway · Atlético de Madrid

№ 238407Elite €18.7M −0.04

Player dossierLaLiga

AlexanderSørloth

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Atlético de Madrid
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Norway
Age
30
Height
196 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sørloth at €18M. Model A, which never saw Sørloth during training, estimates €18.7M: the market value is 4% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €29.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.04A €18.7M▼ −0.49B €29.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
107
Minutes
5,130
Goals
44
Assists
3
Started
48/107
Min / app
48
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sørloth…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €18M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €18MModel A €18.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Alexander Sørloth's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 99th, Assists per 90 16th, Minutes, two years 92nd, Starts 27th, Minutes, last 365 days 95th, European club minutes 85th99thGoals16thAssists92ndMinutes27thStarts95thRecent85thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.77 this player0.26 attacker median99th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2013
Peak
€25M
Jun 2024
Model target
€18M
Jun 2026
Valuations
33
10 club changes
Jun 2026€18MAtlético de MadridValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €18M, Atlético de Madrid. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-09-13€50kRosenborg BK
2014-01-02€100kRosenborg BK
2014-12-07€200kRosenborg BK
2015-08-19€500kFK Bodø/Glimt
2015-12-27€700kFK Bodø/Glimt
2016-02-05€1MFC Groningen
2016-07-15€1MFC Groningen
2017-01-18€750kFC Groningen
2017-06-07€850kFC Groningen
2017-12-18€2MFC Midtjylland
2018-03-23€7MCrystal Palace
2018-05-28€7MCrystal Palace
2018-12-19€6MCrystal Palace
2019-06-10€6MKAA Gent
2020-01-03€10MTrabzonspor
2020-03-25€16MTrabzonspor
2020-04-08€13MTrabzonspor
2020-08-04€20MTrabzonspor
2021-02-10€18MRB Leipzig
2021-06-09€16MRB Leipzig
2021-12-30€12MReal Sociedad
2022-06-03€10MReal Sociedad
2022-11-07€10MReal Sociedad
2023-03-23€12MReal Sociedad
2023-06-13€12MReal Sociedad
2023-10-13€14MVillarreal CF
2023-12-22€14MVillarreal CF
2024-03-21€15MVillarreal CF
2024-06-07€25MVillarreal CF
2024-12-27€25MAtlético de Madrid
2025-06-09€25MAtlético de Madrid
2025-12-12€20MAtlético de Madrid
2026-06-05€18MAtlético de Madrid

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.040

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 84% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 85% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€18MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sørloth appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).