FairValue

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Vladyslav

Vakula

LWUkraine · Zorya Lugansk

№ 526578Emerging €295k −0.39

Player dossierPremier Liha

VladyslavVakula

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Zorya Lugansk
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
27
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Vakula at €200k. Model A, which never saw Vakula during training, estimates €295k: the market value is 32% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €483k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.39A €295k▼ −0.88B €483k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
14
Minutes
525
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
6/14
Min / app
38
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Vakula…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €295k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Vladyslav Vakula's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 3rd, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 3rd, Starts 24th, Minutes, last 365 days 5th, European club minutes 28th3rdGoals6thAssists3rdMinutes24thStarts5thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% attacker median28th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2018
Peak
€800k
Jan 2020
Model target
€200k
Jun 2026
Valuations
21
9 club changes
Jun 2026€200kZorya LuganskValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €200k, Zorya Lugansk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-01-12€50kPFC Stal Kamyanske (-2018)
2018-05-14€100kPFC Stal Kamyanske (-2018)
2018-08-06€100kFC Mariupol
2018-12-10€500kFC Mariupol
2019-03-22€700kFC Mariupol
2019-06-20€700kFC Mariupol
2020-01-08€800kShakhtar Donetsk
2020-04-08€725kShakhtar Donetsk
2020-09-04€700kShakhtar Donetsk
2021-01-14€700kDesna Chernigiv
2021-06-07€500kShakhtar Donetsk
2021-12-20€300kVorskla Poltava
2022-05-18€300kPolissya Zhytomyr
2022-12-06€250kPolissya Zhytomyr
2023-06-21€250kPolissya Zhytomyr
2023-12-11€200kChornomorets Odesa
2024-06-06€300kFC Minaj
2024-12-17€300kZorya Lugansk
2025-06-10€300kZorya Lugansk
2025-12-18€300kZorya Lugansk
2026-06-02€200kZorya Lugansk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.388

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 10% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 4% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Vakula appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).