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Júnior

Brumado

CFBrazil · FC Midtjylland

№ 524590Emerging €7.3M −2.21

Player dossierSuperliga

JúniorBrumado

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
FC Midtjylland
League
Superliga
Nationality
Brazil
Age
27
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Brumado at €800k. Model A, which never saw Brumado during training, estimates €7.3M: the market value is 89% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×9.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −2.21A €7.3M▼ −2.18B €7.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
1,992
Goals
16
Assists
2
Started
21/36
Min / app
55
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Brumado…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €7.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Júnior Brumado's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 98th, Assists per 90 28th, Minutes, two years 45th, Starts 49th, Minutes, last 365 days 72nd, European club minutes 98th98thGoals28thAssists45thMinutes49thStarts72ndRecent98thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.72 this player0.26 attacker median98th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
May 2018
Peak
€2.5M
Jun 2022
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
19
6 club changes
May 2026€800kFC MidtjyllandValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, FC Midtjylland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-05-23€500kEsporte Clube Bahia
2019-06-08€300kFC Midtjylland
2019-12-22€500kFC Midtjylland
2020-04-08€450kSilkeborg IF
2020-07-31€450kFC Midtjylland
2020-12-23€450kFC Midtjylland
2021-06-04€700kFC Midtjylland
2021-10-06€1MFC Midtjylland
2021-12-28€2MFC Midtjylland
2022-06-20€2.5MFC Midtjylland
2022-09-13€2MFC Midtjylland
2022-12-22€1.5MFC Midtjylland
2023-06-26€1MFC Midtjylland
2023-12-15€1MFC Hansa Rostock
2024-06-06€800kFC Hansa Rostock
2024-11-27€1MCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2025-06-27€900kCoritiba Foot Ball Club
2025-12-15€900kFC Midtjylland
2026-05-25€800kFC Midtjylland

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−2.209

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 46% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 25% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Brumado appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).