FairValue

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Walid

Cheddira

CFMorocco · US Lecce

№ 521407Established €2.6M −0.25

Player dossierSerie A

WalidCheddira

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
US Lecce
League
Serie A
Nationality
Morocco
Age
28
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Cheddira at €2M. Model A, which never saw Cheddira during training, estimates €2.6M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.25A €2.6M▲ +0.05B €1.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
59
Minutes
1,985
Goals
5
Assists
2
Started
19/59
Min / app
34
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cheddira…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €2.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Walid Cheddira's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 43rd, Assists per 90 28th, Minutes, two years 44th, Starts 13th, Minutes, last 365 days 49th, European club minutes 28th43rdGoals28thAssists44thMinutes13thStarts49thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,280 this player1,301 attacker median49th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2017
Peak
€8M
Mar 2023
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
22
8 club changes
May 2026€2MUS LecceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, US Lecce. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-09-30€50kAC Sangiustese
2018-02-01€75kAC Sangiustese
2018-06-27€100kAC Sangiustese
2019-02-05€150kAC Sangiustese
2019-06-26€200kAC Sangiustese
2019-12-16€200kSS Arezzo
2020-06-16€175kCalcio Lecco 1912
2021-01-12€200kMantova 1911
2021-06-22€200kMantova 1911
2021-12-22€200kSSC Bari
2022-06-22€250kSSC Bari
2022-09-27€2.5MSSC Bari
2022-12-22€6MSSC Bari
2023-03-20€8MSSC Bari
2023-06-12€7.5MSSC Bari
2023-12-20€6MFrosinone Calcio
2024-06-05€6MFrosinone Calcio
2024-12-27€4MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2025-03-21€3MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2025-06-09€2.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2025-12-23€2.3MUS Sassuolo
2026-05-29€2MUS Lecce

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.251

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 20% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 44% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Cheddira appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).