FairValue

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Ousseynou

Ba

CBSenegal · Basaksehir FK

№ 520815Emerging €1.9M −0.48

Player dossierSüper Lig

OusseynouBa

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Basaksehir FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Senegal
Age
30
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ba at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Ba during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 38% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.62. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.48A €1.9M▼ −0.91B €3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
3,434
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
38/46
Min / app
75
Cards
16Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ba…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Ousseynou Ba's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 61st, Starts 50th, Minutes, last 365 days 49th, European club minutes 84th18thGoals17thAssists61stMinutes50thStarts49thRecent84thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

20% this player0% defender median84th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
May 2018
Peak
€5M
Feb 2021
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
22
2 club changes
May 2026€1.2MBasaksehir FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Basaksehir FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-05-16€300kGFC Ajaccio
2019-01-08€300kGFC Ajaccio
2019-06-27€500kGFC Ajaccio
2019-12-18€500kOlympiacos Piraeus
2020-04-08€400kOlympiacos Piraeus
2020-08-04€4MOlympiacos Piraeus
2021-02-12€5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2021-11-01€4.5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2022-06-09€4.5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2022-11-07€4MOlympiacos Piraeus
2023-05-22€3.5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2023-09-27€3.1MBasaksehir FK
2023-12-21€2.7MBasaksehir FK
2024-03-15€2.6MBasaksehir FK
2024-05-31€2.6MBasaksehir FK
2024-10-04€2.6MBasaksehir FK
2024-12-23€2.5MBasaksehir FK
2025-03-20€2.1MBasaksehir FK
2025-06-18€2MBasaksehir FK
2025-12-17€1.8MBasaksehir FK
2026-03-05€1.5MBasaksehir FK
2026-05-21€1.2MBasaksehir FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.480

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ba appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).