FairValue

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Aleksandr

Silyanov

RBRussia · Lokomotiv Moscow

№ 515051Established €5.5M +0.38

Player dossierPremier Liga

AleksandrSilyanov

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Lokomotiv Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
25
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Silyanov at €8M. Model A, which never saw Silyanov during training, estimates €5.5M: the market value is 47% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.38A €5.5M▲ +0.90B €3.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
71
Minutes
5,641
Goals
4
Assists
4
Started
61/71
Min / app
79
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Silyanov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €5.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Aleksandr Silyanov's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 72nd, Assists per 90 65th, Minutes, two years 90th, Starts 58th, Minutes, last 365 days 85th, European club minutes 30th72ndGoals65thAssists90thMinutes58thStarts85thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,641 this player2,860 defender median90th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Oct 2017
Peak
€8M
May 2026
Model target
€8M
May 2026
Valuations
22
5 club changes
May 2026€8MLokomotiv MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €8M, Lokomotiv Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-10-02€75kUnknown
2018-12-19€75kUnknown
2019-06-14€150kCSKA Moscow II
2019-12-23€150kLokomotiv-Kazanka Moscow
2020-06-29€150kLokomotiv-Kazanka Moscow
2020-12-29€225kLokomotiv-Kazanka Moscow
2021-04-13€250kLokomotiv-Kazanka Moscow
2021-06-02€300kLokomotiv-Kazanka Moscow
2021-12-29€900kLokomotiv Moscow
2022-06-02€1.5MFC Rostov
2022-09-12€1.8MFC Rostov
2022-11-21€3.5MFC Rostov
2023-04-13€4MFC Rostov
2023-06-14€5.5MFC Rostov
2023-10-05€5MLokomotiv Moscow
2023-12-13€4.5MLokomotiv Moscow
2024-06-04€4.5MLokomotiv Moscow
2024-09-18€6MLokomotiv Moscow
2024-12-12€6MLokomotiv Moscow
2025-06-04€6MLokomotiv Moscow
2025-12-16€7MLokomotiv Moscow
2026-05-26€8MLokomotiv Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.383

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 93% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Silyanov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).