FairValue

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João

Batxi

RWAngola · FC Krasnodar

№ 514256Established €11.2M −0.33

Player dossierPremier Liga

JoãoBatxi

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
FC Krasnodar
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Angola
Age
28
Height
174 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Batxi at €8M. Model A, which never saw Batxi during training, estimates €11.2M: the market value is 28% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.39. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €13.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.33A €11.2M▼ −0.50B €13.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
79
Minutes
5,456
Goals
11
Assists
20
Started
68/79
Min / app
69
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Batxi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €11.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

João Batxi's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 31st, Assists per 90 93rd, Minutes, two years 94th, Starts 90th, Minutes, last 365 days 94th, European club minutes 28th31stGoals93rdAssists94thMinutes90thStarts94thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,895 this player1,301 attacker median94th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Dec 2019
Peak
€8M
May 2026
Model target
€8M
May 2026
Valuations
15
1 club change
May 2026€8MFC KrasnodarValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €8M, FC Krasnodar. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-12-31€150kGD Chaves
2020-11-02€300kGD Chaves
2021-06-29€450kGD Chaves
2022-04-01€425kGD Chaves
2022-06-27€575kGD Chaves
2022-09-12€1MFC Krasnodar
2022-11-21€1MFC Krasnodar
2023-06-14€2MFC Krasnodar
2023-10-05€3.5MFC Krasnodar
2023-12-13€3.5MFC Krasnodar
2024-06-04€3.2MFC Krasnodar
2024-12-12€4MFC Krasnodar
2025-06-04€5MFC Krasnodar
2025-12-16€7MFC Krasnodar
2026-05-26€8MFC Krasnodar

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.332

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 93% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 74% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Batxi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).