FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
  • EnvironmentStoriesValuations, head-to-heads and research findings, told as stories.
  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
  • TerminalComparison StudioTwo to four players on one scale.
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  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

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Panutche

Camara

CMGuinea-Bissau · Dundee United FC

№ 512916Emerging €352k −0.16

Player dossierPremiership

PanutcheCamara

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Dundee United FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
Guinea-Bissau
Age
29
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
20 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Camara at €300k. Model A, which never saw Camara during training, estimates €352k: the market value is 15% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.16A €352k▼ −1.65B €1.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
31
Minutes
2,005
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
22/31
Min / app
65
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Camara…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €352k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Panutche Camara's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 32nd, Assists per 90 49th, Minutes, two years 36th, Starts 54th, Minutes, last 365 days 65th, European club minutes 78th32ndGoals49thAssists36thMinutes54thStarts65thRecent78thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

16% this player0% midfielder median78th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Dec 2021
Peak
€450k
Jul 2022
Model target
€300k
May 2026
Valuations
9
4 club changes
May 2026€300kDundee United FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €300k, Dundee United FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-12-31€250kPlymouth Argyle
2022-07-29€450kPlymouth Argyle
2023-04-05€350kIpswich Town
2023-06-09€350kIpswich Town
2023-12-27€300kCharlton Athletic
2024-12-27€350kCrawley Town
2025-06-18€350kCrawley Town
2025-12-10€350kDundee United FC
2026-05-20€300kDundee United FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.159

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 40% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Camara appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).