FairValue

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Simon

Sohm

CMSwitzerland · Bologna FC 1909

№ 507486Established €6.7M +0.18

Player dossierSerie A

SimonSohm

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Bologna FC 1909
League
Serie A
Nationality
Switzerland
Age
25
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sohm at €8M. Model A, which never saw Sohm during training, estimates €6.7M: the market value is 19% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.18A €6.7M▲ +0.09B €7.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
72
Minutes
4,711
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
56/72
Min / app
65
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sohm…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €6.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Simon Sohm's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 47th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 84th, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 53rd, European club minutes 64th47thGoals17thAssists84thMinutes66thStarts53rdRecent64thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,711 this player2,607 midfielder median84th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2018
Peak
€10M
Oct 2025
Model target
€8M
May 2026
Valuations
23
3 club changes
May 2026€8MBologna FC 1909Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €8M, Bologna FC 1909. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-07-10€100kFC Zürich
2019-01-21€100kFC Zürich
2019-04-15€100kFC Zürich
2019-06-04€500kFC Zürich
2020-01-06€1.3MFC Zürich
2020-04-08€1.1MFC Zürich
2020-07-31€1.1MFC Zürich
2020-10-29€5MParma Calcio 1913
2020-12-29€5MParma Calcio 1913
2021-06-03€4.5MParma Calcio 1913
2021-12-29€3.5MParma Calcio 1913
2022-06-06€2.3MParma Calcio 1913
2022-12-22€2MParma Calcio 1913
2023-06-12€2MParma Calcio 1913
2023-10-11€2.5MParma Calcio 1913
2023-12-27€3MParma Calcio 1913
2024-06-03€2.7MParma Calcio 1913
2024-12-18€4MParma Calcio 1913
2025-03-25€5MParma Calcio 1913
2025-06-17€5MParma Calcio 1913
2025-10-07€10MACF Fiorentina
2025-12-23€8MACF Fiorentina
2026-05-29€8MBologna FC 1909

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.177

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 60% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 74% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sohm appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).