FairValue

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Giovanni

Reyna

AMUnited States · Borussia Mönchengladbach

№ 504215Established €4M −0.01

Player dossierBundesliga

GiovanniReyna

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Borussia Mönchengladbach
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
United States
Age
23
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Reyna at €4M. Model A, which never saw Reyna during training, estimates €4M: the market value is 1% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.01A €4M▲ +0.31B €2.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
1,204
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
10/46
Min / app
26
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Reyna…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Giovanni Reyna's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 86th, Assists per 90 70th, Minutes, two years 18th, Starts 2nd, Minutes, last 365 days 15th, European club minutes 90th86thGoals70thAssists18thMinutes2ndStarts15thRecent90thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

24% this player0% midfielder median90th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€6M
Feb 2020
Peak
€42M
Oct 2021
Model target
€4M
May 2026
Valuations
23
3 club changes
May 2026€4MBorussia MönchengladbachValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €4M, Borussia Mönchengladbach. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-02-11€6MBorussia Dortmund
2020-03-11€15MBorussia Dortmund
2020-04-08€13.5MBorussia Dortmund
2020-07-08€15MBorussia Dortmund
2020-11-26€30MBorussia Dortmund
2021-02-10€38MBorussia Dortmund
2021-06-09€38MBorussia Dortmund
2021-10-07€42MBorussia Dortmund
2021-12-22€42MBorussia Dortmund
2022-06-09€35MBorussia Dortmund
2022-11-09€35MBorussia Dortmund
2023-03-29€28MBorussia Dortmund
2023-06-22€25MBorussia Dortmund
2023-10-18€20MBorussia Dortmund
2023-12-14€20MBorussia Dortmund
2024-05-27€18MNottingham Forest
2024-10-09€12MBorussia Dortmund
2024-12-20€12MBorussia Dortmund
2025-03-27€10MBorussia Dortmund
2025-06-05€7MBorussia Dortmund
2025-12-19€6MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2026-03-20€4MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2026-05-27€4MBorussia Mönchengladbach

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.009

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 39% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 61% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Reyna appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).