Niklas
Süle
CBGermany · Borussia Dortmund
Player dossierBundesliga
NiklasSüle
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Borussia Dortmund
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Germany
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 195 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Süle at €4M. Model A, which never saw Süle during training, estimates €5.6M: the market value is 28% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 38
- Minutes
- 2,370
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 28/38
- Min / app
- 62
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Süle…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
28% this player0% defender median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jul 2012
- Peak
- €60M
- Jun 2019
- Model target
- €4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 38
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €4M, Borussia Dortmund. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-07-15 | €25k | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II |
| 2013-04-27 | €100k | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II |
| 2013-06-30 | €300k | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II |
| 2013-11-08 | €1M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2014-02-12 | €4.5M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2014-07-10 | €5.5M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2015-02-04 | €5.5M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2015-07-01 | €5.5M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2015-10-16 | €8M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2016-02-15 | €8M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2016-04-13 | €10M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2016-07-22 | €12M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2017-02-07 | €20M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2017-06-19 | €25M | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim |
| 2017-12-28 | €30M | Bayern Munich |
| 2018-04-04 | €35M | Bayern Munich |
| 2018-06-05 | €38M | Bayern Munich |
| 2018-07-16 | €45M | Bayern Munich |
| 2018-10-22 | €50M | Bayern Munich |
| 2018-12-18 | €50M | Bayern Munich |
| 2019-06-05 | €60M | Bayern Munich |
| 2019-12-17 | €60M | Bayern Munich |
| 2020-04-08 | €48M | Bayern Munich |
| 2021-02-10 | €37M | Bayern Munich |
| 2021-06-01 | €35M | Bayern Munich |
| 2021-12-22 | €35M | Bayern Munich |
| 2022-06-09 | €35M | Bayern Munich |
| 2022-11-09 | €35M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2023-06-22 | €35M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2023-10-18 | €30M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2023-12-14 | €22M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2024-05-29 | €15M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2024-12-20 | €15M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2025-03-27 | €8M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2025-06-05 | €8M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2025-12-19 | €5M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2026-03-20 | €4M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2026-05-27 | €4M | Borussia Dortmund |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.335
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 39% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Süle appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- NeuerGKBayern Munich · Bundesliga€4M
- GrifoLWSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€4M
- ZettererGKEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga€4M
- TorunarighaCBHamburger SV · Bundesliga€4M
- KolasinacCBAtalanta BC · defenders€4M
- TagliaficoLBOlympique Lyon · defenders€4M
- BurnCBNewcastle United · defenders€4M
- SchärCBNewcastle United · defenders€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).