Samuel
Soares
GKPortugal · SL Benfica
Player dossierLiga Portugal
SamuelSoares
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- SL Benfica
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Soares at €3M. Model A, which never saw Soares during training, estimates €694k: the market value is 332% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×4.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €650k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 5
- Minutes
- 450
- Started
- 5/5
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Soares…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Nov 2021
- Peak
- €4M
- Mar 2025
- Model target
- €3M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 1 club change
May 2026: €3M, SL Benfica. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-05 | €250k | SL Benfica B |
| 2022-04-01 | €250k | SL Benfica B |
| 2022-06-27 | €750k | SL Benfica B |
| 2022-09-16 | €1M | SL Benfica B |
| 2022-11-01 | €2M | SL Benfica B |
| 2022-12-28 | €2M | SL Benfica B |
| 2023-06-16 | €2M | SL Benfica |
| 2023-09-29 | €3M | SL Benfica |
| 2023-12-27 | €3M | SL Benfica |
| 2024-06-06 | €3M | SL Benfica |
| 2024-12-19 | €3M | SL Benfica |
| 2025-03-31 | €4M | SL Benfica |
| 2025-05-30 | €4M | SL Benfica |
| 2025-12-18 | €4M | SL Benfica |
| 2026-05-28 | €3M | SL Benfica |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.464
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 67% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 68% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Soares appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BrumaLWSL Benfica · Liga Portugal€3M
- SantosLBSporting CP · Liga Portugal€3M
- FerreiraDMCD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal€3M
- SánchezRBGD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal€3M
- StegenGKGirona FC · goalkeepers€3M
- VlachodimosGKSevilla FC · goalkeepers€3M
- SchwäbeGK1.FC Köln · goalkeepers€3M
- ProvedelGKSS Lazio · goalkeepers€3M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).