Pavel
Sulc
AMCzech Republic · Olympique Lyon
Player dossierLigue 1
PavelSulc
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Olympique Lyon
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Czech Republic
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 177 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Sulc at €20M. Model A, which never saw Sulc during training, estimates €27.8M: the market value is 28% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.39. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €20.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 53
- Minutes
- 3,666
- Goals
- 16
- Assists
- 11
- Started
- 40/53
- Min / app
- 69
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sulc…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
57% this player0% midfielder median100th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Dec 2017
- Peak
- €20M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €20M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 24
- 9 club changes
Jun 2026: €20M, Olympique Lyon. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-12-19 | €50k | FC Viktoria Plzen U19 |
| 2018-06-30 | €50k | FC Viktoria Plzen U19 |
| 2019-04-27 | €300k | FC Vysocina Jihlava |
| 2019-06-25 | €400k | FC Vysocina Jihlava |
| 2019-12-07 | €400k | Slezsky FC Opava |
| 2020-04-08 | €350k | SK Dynamo Ceske Budejovice |
| 2020-07-10 | €450k | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2020-12-27 | €500k | SK Dynamo Ceske Budejovice |
| 2021-04-19 | €1M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2021-06-25 | €1.1M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2021-12-26 | €1.1M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2022-06-22 | €1M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2022-12-14 | €1M | FK Jablonec |
| 2023-06-20 | €1.2M | FK Jablonec |
| 2023-09-20 | €1.8M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2023-12-20 | €3M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2024-03-27 | €5M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2024-06-05 | €6M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2024-09-27 | €8M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2024-12-20 | €10M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2025-06-17 | €10M | FC Viktoria Plzen |
| 2025-12-15 | €12M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2026-03-27 | €20M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2026-06-01 | €20M | Olympique Lyon |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.329
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 85% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 88% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Sulc appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SarrCBRC Lens · Ligue 1€20M
- WeahRMOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€20M
- AblineCFFC Nantes · Ligue 1€20M
- DouéRBRC Strasbourg Alsace · Ligue 1€20M
- GarcíaCMBayer 04 Leverkusen · midfielders€20M
- MaddisonAMTottenham Hotspur · midfielders€20M
- SchoutenDMPSV Eindhoven · midfielders€20M
- BentancurDMTottenham Hotspur · midfielders€20M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).