FairValue

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Portrait of Aleix García

Aleix

García

CMSpain · Bayer 04 Leverkusen

№ 261504Elite €24.4M −0.20

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierBundesliga

AleixGarcía

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Spain
Age
28
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values García at €20M. Model A, which never saw García during training, estimates €24.4M: the market value is 18% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €27M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.20A €24.4M▼ −0.30B €27M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
92
Minutes
6,279
Goals
11
Assists
15
Started
71/92
Min / app
68
Cards
16Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for García…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €20MModel A €24.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Aleix García's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 74th, Assists per 90 87th, Minutes, two years 96th, Starts 65th, Minutes, last 365 days 99th, European club minutes 87th74thGoals87thAssists96thMinutes65thStarts99thRecent87thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

4,160 this player1,541 midfielder median99th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1M
Jun 2017
Peak
€25M
Mar 2024
Model target
€20M
May 2026
Valuations
23
6 club changes
May 2026€20MBayer 04 LeverkusenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €20M, Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-06-28€1MManchester City
2018-01-01€1MGirona FC
2018-05-30€1MGirona FC
2018-12-21€2MGirona FC
2019-06-11€3MGirona FC
2019-12-13€4MRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2020-04-08€3.2MRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2020-12-18€2MFC Dinamo 1948
2021-06-10€1.8MSD Eibar
2021-12-27€1.8MGirona FC
2022-06-29€2.5MGirona FC
2022-09-23€4MGirona FC
2022-11-07€7MGirona FC
2023-03-23€10MGirona FC
2023-06-13€10MGirona FC
2023-12-22€20MGirona FC
2024-03-21€25MGirona FC
2024-06-07€25MGirona FC
2024-10-09€20MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2024-12-20€20MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2025-06-05€20MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2025-12-19€20MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2026-05-27€20MBayer 04 Leverkusen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.198

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 82% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 88% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Where García appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).