FairValue

Checking model

Esc
  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
  • EnvironmentStoriesValuations, head-to-heads and research findings, told as stories.
  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
  • TerminalComparison StudioTwo to four players on one scale.
  • TerminalWatchlistsNamed collections, kept in this browser.
  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

↑ ↓ to move · Enter to open · Esc to closeLoading player index…

Portrait of Rodrigo Bentancur

Rodrigo

Bentancur

DMUruguay · Tottenham Hotspur

№ 354362Elite €19M +0.05

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

RodrigoBentancur

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Tottenham Hotspur
League
Premier League
Nationality
Uruguay
Age
28
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bentancur at €20M. Model A, which never saw Bentancur during training, estimates €19M: the market value is 5% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €18.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.05A €19M▲ +0.09B €18.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
74
Minutes
5,240
Goals
3
Assists
1
Started
64/74
Min / app
71
Cards
21Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bentancur…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €20MModel A €19M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Rodrigo Bentancur's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 35th, Assists per 90 16th, Minutes, two years 89th, Starts 81st, Minutes, last 365 days 82nd, European club minutes 94th35thGoals16thAssists89thMinutes81stStarts82ndRecent94thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

28% this player0% midfielder median94th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€2M
Jul 2015
Peak
€50M
Mar 2020
Model target
€20M
Jun 2026
Valuations
31
2 club changes
Jun 2026€20MTottenham HotspurValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €20M, Tottenham Hotspur. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-07-14€2MCA Boca Juniors
2016-02-06€5.8MCA Boca Juniors
2016-08-08€5MCA Boca Juniors
2017-02-13€6MCA Boca Juniors
2017-10-13€9MJuventus FC
2017-12-29€12.5MJuventus FC
2018-06-07€15MJuventus FC
2018-07-16€20MJuventus FC
2018-12-20€35MJuventus FC
2019-06-06€35MJuventus FC
2019-12-12€40MJuventus FC
2020-03-03€50MJuventus FC
2020-04-08€40MJuventus FC
2020-08-25€50MJuventus FC
2020-12-29€46MJuventus FC
2021-03-23€40MJuventus FC
2021-06-03€35MJuventus FC
2021-10-14€30MJuventus FC
2021-12-28€25MJuventus FC
2022-06-15€28MTottenham Hotspur
2022-09-15€35MTottenham Hotspur
2022-11-03€40MTottenham Hotspur
2023-06-20€40MTottenham Hotspur
2023-12-19€35MTottenham Hotspur
2024-05-27€35MTottenham Hotspur
2024-12-16€35MTottenham Hotspur
2025-03-18€30MTottenham Hotspur
2025-05-30€30MTottenham Hotspur
2025-12-09€27MTottenham Hotspur
2026-03-09€22MTottenham Hotspur
2026-06-03€20MTottenham Hotspur

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.052

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 54% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 88% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bentancur appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).