FairValue

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Ewoud

Pletinckx

CBBelgium · Oud-Heverlee Leuven

№ 491298Emerging €3.1M −0.54

Player dossierPro League

EwoudPletinckx

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
25
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pletinckx at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Pletinckx during training, estimates €3.1M: the market value is 42% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.71. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.54A €3.1M▼ −0.99B €4.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
51
Minutes
4,369
Goals
4
Assists
1
Started
49/51
Min / app
86
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pletinckx…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €3.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Ewoud Pletinckx's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 81st, Assists per 90 38th, Minutes, two years 75th, Starts 87th, Minutes, last 365 days 96th, European club minutes 30th81stGoals38thAssists75thMinutes87thStarts96thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,538 this player1,687 defender median96th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Dec 2018
Peak
€2M
Dec 2019
Model target
€1.8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
18
1 club change
Jun 2026€1.8MOud-Heverlee LeuvenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.8M, Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-12-27€100kZulte Waregem
2019-03-04€800kZulte Waregem
2019-06-10€1MZulte Waregem
2019-09-13€1.5MZulte Waregem
2019-12-13€2MZulte Waregem
2020-04-08€1.8MZulte Waregem
2020-10-16€1.8MZulte Waregem
2021-06-07€1.6MZulte Waregem
2022-01-06€1.4MZulte Waregem
2022-04-12€1.2MZulte Waregem
2022-11-04€1.5MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2023-06-09€2MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2023-12-19€1.8MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2024-06-04€2MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2024-12-11€2MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2025-06-12€1.8MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2025-12-10€1.8MOud-Heverlee Leuven
2026-06-04€1.8MOud-Heverlee Leuven

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.537

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 47% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 48% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pletinckx appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).