Pedro
Ganchas
CBPortugal · Silkeborg IF
Player dossierSuperliga
PedroGanchas
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Silkeborg IF
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Portugal
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
SuperligaReading the valuation
The market values Ganchas at €1.7M. Model A, which never saw Ganchas during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 15% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 54
- Minutes
- 4,838
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 54/54
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ganchas…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.7M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Nov 2020
- Peak
- €1.7M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €1.7M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €1.7M, Silkeborg IF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-02 | €300k | SL Benfica B |
| 2021-06-29 | €400k | SL Benfica B |
| 2022-03-10 | €400k | FC Paços de Ferreira |
| 2022-05-31 | €400k | FC Paços de Ferreira |
| 2022-11-01 | €400k | FC Paços de Ferreira |
| 2023-03-02 | €300k | FC Paços de Ferreira |
| 2023-06-16 | €200k | FC Paços de Ferreira |
| 2023-12-14 | €350k | FC Paços de Ferreira |
| 2024-06-20 | €700k | FC Paços de Ferreira |
| 2024-12-09 | €1.2M | Silkeborg IF |
| 2025-06-16 | €1.5M | Silkeborg IF |
| 2025-12-15 | €1.7M | Silkeborg IF |
| 2026-05-25 | €1.7M | Silkeborg IF |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.168
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 69% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 48% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ganchas appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ArpAMOdense Boldklub · Superliga€1.7M
- OlsenRBRanders FC · Superliga€1.8M
- SolbakkenRWFC Nordsjaelland · Superliga€1.5M
- LarsenCMSilkeborg IF · Superliga€1.5M
- JamesLBGo Ahead Eagles · defenders€1.7M
- HainautRBVenezia FC · defenders€1.7M
- LejeuneCBRayo Vallecano · defenders€1.8M
- IngasonCBPanathinaikos · defenders€1.8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).