Berat
Özdemir
DMTürkiye · Basaksehir FK
Player dossierSüper Lig
BeratÖzdemir
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Basaksehir FK
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Özdemir at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Özdemir during training, estimates €2.5M: the market value is 1% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 59
- Minutes
- 3,565
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 40/59
- Min / app
- 60
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Özdemir…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
14% this player0% midfielder median77th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jan 2017
- Peak
- €7M
- Jan 2022
- Model target
- €2.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 30
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €2.5M, Basaksehir FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-01-11 | €50k | Genclerbirligi Ankara U21 |
| 2017-09-09 | €100k | Hacettepe Spor |
| 2018-07-04 | €100k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2019-01-07 | €100k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2019-06-17 | €100k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2019-10-30 | €900k | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2020-01-03 | €2M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2020-04-08 | €1.8M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2020-08-04 | €1.8M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2020-12-23 | €2M | Genclerbirligi Ankara |
| 2021-03-16 | €3.3M | Trabzonspor |
| 2021-05-21 | €3.5M | Trabzonspor |
| 2021-10-12 | €5.5M | Trabzonspor |
| 2022-01-04 | €7M | Trabzonspor |
| 2022-03-31 | €5.5M | Trabzonspor |
| 2022-06-01 | €4.7M | Trabzonspor |
| 2022-12-02 | €5M | Al-Ettifaq FC |
| 2023-06-12 | €4.5M | Al-Ettifaq FC |
| 2023-09-27 | €4.2M | Trabzonspor |
| 2023-12-21 | €5M | Trabzonspor |
| 2024-03-15 | €6M | Trabzonspor |
| 2024-05-31 | €6M | Trabzonspor |
| 2024-10-04 | €5.5M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2024-12-23 | €4.8M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2025-03-20 | €4.5M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2025-06-18 | €4.2M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2025-10-01 | €4M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2025-12-17 | €3.5M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2026-03-05 | €3M | Basaksehir FK |
| 2026-05-21 | €2.5M | Basaksehir FK |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.007
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 68% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Özdemir appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BénesCMKayserispor · Süper Lig€2.5M
- KemenCMBasaksehir FK · Süper Lig€2.5M
- BardhiAMKonyaspor · Süper Lig€2.5M
- DuarteCBBasaksehir FK · Süper Lig€2.5M
- EriksenAMVfL Wolfsburg · midfielders€2.5M
- GroßCMBrighton & Hove Albion · midfielders€2.5M
- BuyalskyiAMDynamo Kyiv · midfielders€2.5M
- TouréDMLe Havre AC · midfielders€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).