FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Berkan

Kutlu

CMTürkiye · Konyaspor

№ 469787Established €1.9M +0.29

Player dossierSüper Lig

BerkanKutlu

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Konyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
28
Height
186 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kutlu at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Kutlu during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 34% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.29A €1.9M▼ −0.86B €5.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
60
Minutes
2,414
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
23/60
Min / app
40
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kutlu…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €1.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Berkan Kutlu's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 60th, Assists per 90 41st, Minutes, two years 46th, Starts 10th, Minutes, last 365 days 41st, European club minutes 80th60thGoals41stAssists46thMinutes10thStarts41stRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

17% this player0% midfielder median80th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Feb 2019
Peak
€5.5M
Jan 2022
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
25
6 club changes
May 2026€2.5MKonyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Konyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-02-05€25kFC Sion U21
2019-06-04€200kFC Sion U21
2020-01-06€200kFC Sion U21
2020-07-31€200kFC Sion
2020-12-23€1MAlanyaspor
2021-03-16€2MAlanyaspor
2021-05-21€3.3MAlanyaspor
2021-10-12€5MGalatasaray
2022-01-04€5.5MGalatasaray
2022-03-31€5MGalatasaray
2022-06-01€4.8MGalatasaray
2022-10-27€4MGalatasaray
2023-03-14€4.3MGalatasaray
2023-06-08€4MGalatasaray
2023-12-20€4MGenoa CFC
2024-03-15€3.8MGalatasaray
2024-05-31€3.8MGalatasaray
2024-10-04€3.8MGalatasaray
2024-12-23€3.8MGalatasaray
2025-03-20€3.5MGalatasaray
2025-06-18€3.2MGalatasaray
2025-10-01€3MGalatasaray
2025-12-17€2.5MGalatasaray
2026-03-05€2MKonyaspor
2026-05-21€2.5MKonyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.293

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 68% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kutlu appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).