Sotiris
Alexandropoulos
CMGreece · Fortuna Düsseldorf
Player dossierBundesliga
SotirisAlexandropoulos
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Greece
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Alexandropoulos at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Alexandropoulos during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.28. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €707k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 27
- Minutes
- 763
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 7/27
- Min / app
- 28
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Alexandropoulos…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% midfielder median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Sept 2019
- Peak
- €4M
- Sept 2022
- Model target
- €1.2M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 20
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.2M, Fortuna Düsseldorf. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-09-23 | €50k | Panathinaikos |
| 2019-12-18 | €100k | Panathinaikos |
| 2020-08-04 | €150k | Panathinaikos |
| 2021-02-12 | €750k | Panathinaikos |
| 2021-05-30 | €1.2M | Panathinaikos |
| 2021-11-01 | €1.8M | Panathinaikos |
| 2022-02-22 | €2.5M | Panathinaikos |
| 2022-06-09 | €3M | Panathinaikos |
| 2022-09-16 | €4M | Sporting CP |
| 2022-11-01 | €4M | Sporting CP |
| 2023-03-02 | €3M | Sporting CP |
| 2023-06-16 | €3M | Sporting CP |
| 2023-12-20 | €3M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2024-05-30 | €3M | Olympiacos Piraeus |
| 2024-10-02 | €2.5M | Standard Liège |
| 2024-12-11 | €2.5M | Standard Liège |
| 2025-06-12 | €2.5M | Standard Liège |
| 2025-12-16 | €2M | Fortuna Düsseldorf |
| 2026-03-13 | €1.5M | Fortuna Düsseldorf |
| 2026-06-01 | €1.2M | Fortuna Düsseldorf |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.246
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 10% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 35% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Alexandropoulos appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FernandesGKHamburger SV · Bundesliga€1.2M
- CostaCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga€1.2M
- ZivzivadzeCF1.FC Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga€1.2M
- StenzelRBVfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga€1.2M
- WitselDMGirona FC · midfielders€1.2M
- HendersonDMBrentford FC · midfielders€1.2M
- CabellaAMFC Nantes · midfielders€1.2M
- OzdoevDMPAOK Thessaloniki · midfielders€1.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).