FairValue

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Sirlord

Conteh

RWGermany · 1.FC Heidenheim 1846

№ 307183Emerging €1.1M +0.07

Player dossierBundesliga

SirlordConteh

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
1.FC Heidenheim 1846
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
29
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Conteh at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Conteh during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 8% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €755k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.07A €1.1M▲ +0.46B €755k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
1,725
Goals
5
Assists
3
Started
10/47
Min / app
37
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Conteh…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Sirlord Conteh's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 49th, Assists per 90 54th, Minutes, two years 37th, Starts 4th, Minutes, last 365 days 24th, European club minutes 68th49thGoals54thAssists37thMinutes4thStarts24thRecent68thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

8% this player0% attacker median68th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2015
Peak
€1.5M
Oct 2024
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
31
3 club changes
May 2026€1.2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, 1.FC Heidenheim 1846. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-07-14€25kFC St. Pauli II
2015-11-04€50kFC St. Pauli II
2016-02-25€50kFC St. Pauli II
2016-07-27€50kFC St. Pauli II
2017-02-05€50kFC St. Pauli II
2017-08-02€50kFC St. Pauli II
2017-09-27€75kFC St. Pauli II
2018-02-09€75kFC St. Pauli II
2018-08-08€125kFC St. Pauli II
2019-02-24€125kFC St. Pauli II
2019-07-12€175k1.FC Magdeburg
2019-12-11€175k1.FC Magdeburg
2020-07-17€175k1.FC Magdeburg
2021-01-20€175k1.FC Magdeburg
2021-03-26€150k1.FC Magdeburg
2021-06-14€150k1.FC Magdeburg
2021-10-11€200k1.FC Magdeburg
2021-12-30€200k1.FC Magdeburg
2022-03-16€350k1.FC Magdeburg
2022-06-01€400k1.FC Magdeburg
2022-09-28€700kSC Paderborn 07
2022-11-30€700kSC Paderborn 07
2023-06-28€1MSC Paderborn 07
2023-12-15€900kSC Paderborn 07
2024-03-22€700kSC Paderborn 07
2024-06-06€1MSC Paderborn 07
2024-10-09€1.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2024-12-20€1.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2025-06-05€1.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2025-12-19€1.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2026-05-27€1.2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.073

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 10% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Conteh appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).